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Tarefa paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.tool

paper_reprotoolT1publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165744Z-suite-paper_repro-scripted-def9df

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.
Calculado pelo agente
coef.cdl =0,08770140.08770138490539615
Coefficient on cdl in the regression of l_homicide
via infer.ols (call_721e8e30)
Valor esperado (gabarito)
coef.cdl =0,08770140.08770138490539588
statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of cheng_hoekstra_2013 tab5_pb_c1 (infer.ols, figure 'coef.cdl') on an independent code path
Como foi validado
3 de 3 verificações obrigatórias aprovadas
relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 6.689912458805552e-8

Pergunta feita ao analista

Tarefa de ferramenta: nenhuma pergunta; a especificação de referência é chamada direto.

Como o agente resolveu e como foi validado

Resumo passo a passo do que o agente executou, por que o caminho está correto e como cada verificação conferiu o resultado.

  1. 1Preparação da base de dados
    castle— The state-year panel of Cheng and Hoekstra (2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', as distributed with Cunningham's Causal Inference: The Mixtape: one row per U.S. state and year, 2000-2010 (550 rows: 50 states, 11 years). Columns used most: state, the state's name; sid, a numeric state id; year; cdl, the castle doctrine law variable as the paper codes it: the fraction of the year in which the state's castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) law was in effect, 0 before adoption and 1 in full years after it; post, 1 in every year from the adoption year on (any part of the year); effyear and treatment_date, the year the law took effect (missing for states that never adopted one); homicide, the homicide rate per 100,000 residents (FBI Uniform Crime Reports), and l_homicide its natural log; murder and l_murder, the murder rate and its log; population; popwt, the state's average population over 2000-2010 (constant within a state), the weight the paper's weighted regressions use; northeast, midwest, south, west, census region indicators; r20001 to r20104, region-by-year indicators named r20<two-digit year><region 1-4> (for example r20063 is region 3 in 2006); trend_1 to trend_51, state-specific linear trends; lead1 to lead9 and lag0 to lag5, event-time indicators relative to adoption; other crime rates (robbery, assault, burglary, larceny, motor) and their logs (l_robbery and so on); and the time-varying controls of the paper (police, unemployrt, income, poverty, prisoner, lagprisoner, exp_subsidy, exp_pubwelfare, and the shares of black and white men aged 15-24 and 25-44).
  2. 2Chamada que gerou a resposta finalinfer.ols(Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO))citada na respostacoincide com a referência
    Ver chamada call_721e8e30 nos detalhes
    Argumentos principais
    cluster:
    "sid"
    dataset:
    "castle"
    fe:
    ["sid","year"]
    intercept:
    true
    level:
    0,950.95
    se:
    "HC1"
    x:
    ["cdl"]
    y:
    "l_homicide"
    Resultado calculado
    • coef.cdl = 0,0877014 0.08770138490539615
      Coefficient on cdl in the regression of l_homicide
    Diagnósticos: n_obs = 550550 (observations used) · k = 6161 (parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included) · r2 = 0,9105470.9105468478338682 · df_resid = 489489 · se_type = "cluster" (cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'sid') · n_clusters = 5050 (50 clusters of 'sid') · fixed_effects = "sid (50 levels), year (11 levels)" (absorbed as dummies; their coefficients are not tabulated)
  3. 3Conferência de lastro e resposta final
    • #0figura próximacoef.cdl
      software reference
    • #1figura próximacoef.cdl
      software reference, SE
    • #2figura próximacoef.cdl
      published cell
    • #3figura próximacoef.cdl
      published cell, SE (known deviation: se_convention)

Aprofundamento técnico para especialistas

Acesso direto às fontes primárias, tabela formal de verificações, comparação de argumentos, trajetória completa com prompts brutos e somas SHA-256.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.software

Fonte
statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of cheng_hoekstra_2013 tab5_pb_c1 (infer.ols, figure 'coef.cdl') on an independent code path
Tipo
software
Localização
cheng_hoekstra_2013: NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5, Panel B 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Unweighted)', column (1) state and year fixed effects, row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
Valor
0,08770140.08770138490539588 (se 0,06689910.06689912458805553)
Conferido por
execução de software · sm.OLS(l_homicide, add_constant(['cdl']), fe dummies ['sid', 'year']; 61 independent columns).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=sid) on castle (the file pinned at sha256 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29); n_obs = 550. The tool infer.ols (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
Implementação
independente da ferramenta
Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
  • #0 figura próxima: 0,08770140.08770138490539588 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 6.689912458805552e-8
  • #1 figura próxima: 0,06689910.06689912458805553 · relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 6.689912458805552e-8

cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.paper

Fonte
Cheng, C. and Hoekstra, M. (2013). Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine. Journal of Human Resources 48(3): 821-854. Cells read from the NBER Working Paper 18134 (June 2012).
Tipo
paper
Localização
NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5 (the effect of castle doctrine on homicide), Panel B 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Unweighted)', column (1), row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
Página
38
Trecho
Panel B: Castle Doctrine Law 0.0877 (0.0638)
Valor como publicado
0.0877
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0638
Valor
0,08770.0877 (se 0,06380.0638) log points of the homicide rate per unit of the castle doctrine law variable
Conferido por
fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the NBER Working Paper 18134 PDF (43 pages, created 2012-06-28) with pdftotext -layout and from the page image rendered at 80 dpi: Table 5 'The Effect of Castle Doctrine on Homicide' is on PDF page 40 (printed page 38). The published JHR version (48(3), 2013) could not be read without a subscription, so the cells are the authors' circulated working-paper version. The notes say 'Robust standard errors are clustered at the state level'; the unit is the state-year; 550 observations in every column. Panel A is weighted (by state population, 'OLS - Weighted'), Panel B unweighted. Column (1) has state and year fixed effects; column (2) adds region-by-year fixed effects.
sha256 da cópia lida
1283a9c1e37ea2114e36b6c48ffc7c3fc0f26b2334f08c1a60ffbe82f3005682 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Desvio conhecido
convenção de erro-padrão
Found in the software-reference run (scripts/paper_repro_reference.py, statsmodels 0.15.0, 2026-10-15), before the MAGI tool ran on this target: the declared specification (state and year effects as dummies, unweighted, CR1 clustered by state counting the dummies in K) gives an SE of 0.0669 against the printed 0.0638, the same ratio of about sqrt((N-k)/(N-K)) (k: the regressors left after absorbing the state effects, as Stata xtreg, fe counts them; K: the full dummy count) as Panel A, while the coefficient matches the printed one: the authors' clustered errors do not count the state effects, nested in the clusters, in K (Stata xtreg, fe). The reference keeps the declared convention; the printed cell is recorded and non-required on T1.
Endereço
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w18134/w18134.pdf
Licença
NBER working paper, copyright the authors; cited, not reproduced.
  • #2 figura próxima: 0,08770.0877 · published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005
  • #3 figura próxima: 0,06380.0638 · published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005
Especificação técnica do gabarito

Cheng, C. and Hoekstra, M. (2013). Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine. Journal of Human Resources 48(3): 821-854. Cells read from the NBER Working Paper 18134 (June 2012). NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5, Panel B 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Unweighted)', column (1) state and year fixed effects, row 'Castle Doctrine Law' (source cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.paper); software reference cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.software: statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of cheng_hoekstra_2013 tab5_pb_c1 (infer.ols, figure 'coef.cdl') on an independent code path

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0
figura próximacoef.cdl
software reference
0.08770138491 vs 0.08770138490539588
obrigatóriapassou0,08770140.087701384905395880,08770140.08770138490539615relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 6.689912458805552e-8cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.software—
1
figura próximacoef.cdl
software reference, SE
0.06689912459 vs 0.06689912458805553
obrigatóriapassou0,06689910.066899124588055530,06689910.06689912458805584relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 6.689912458805552e-8cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.software—
2
figura próximacoef.cdl
published cell
0.08770138491 vs 0.0877
obrigatóriapassou0,08770.08770,08770140.08770138490539615published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.paper—
3
figura próximacoef.cdl
published cell, SE (known deviation: se_convention)
0.06689912459 vs 0.0638
registradafalhou0,06380.06380,06689910.06689912458805584published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.paper—

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

a própria especificação da tarefa

Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_721e8e30)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster"sid""sid"igual
controls[][]igual
dataset"castle""castle"igual
fe["sid","year"]["sid","year"]igual
intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
subset——não fixado pela referência
weights——igual
x["cdl"]["cdl"]igual
y"l_homicide""l_homicide"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Tarefa de ferramenta: nenhuma pergunta; a especificação de referência é chamada direto.

    castle (agent)

    The state-year panel of Cheng and Hoekstra (2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', as distributed with Cunningham's Causal Inference: The Mixtape: one row per U.S. state and year, 2000-2010 (550 rows: 50 states, 11 years). Columns used most: state, the state's name; sid, a numeric state id; year; cdl, the castle doctrine law variable as the paper codes it: the fraction of the year in which the state's castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) law was in effect, 0 before adoption and 1 in full years after it; post, 1 in every year from the adoption year on (any part of the year); effyear and treatment_date, the year the law took effect (missing for states that never adopted one); homicide, the homicide rate per 100,000 residents (FBI Uniform Crime Reports), and l_homicide its natural log; murder and l_murder, the murder rate and its log; population; popwt, the state's average population over 2000-2010 (constant within a state), the weight the paper's weighted regressions use; northeast, midwest, south, west, census region indicators; r20001 to r20104, region-by-year indicators named r20<two-digit year><region 1-4> (for example r20063 is region 3 in 2006); trend_1 to trend_51, state-specific linear trends; lead1 to lead9 and lag0 to lag5, event-time indicators relative to adoption; other crime rates (robbery, assault, burglary, larceny, motor) and their logs (l_robbery and so on); and the time-varying controls of the paper (police, unemployrt, income, poverty, prisoner, lagprisoner, exp_subsidy, exp_pubwelfare, and the shares of black and white men aged 15-24 and 25-44).

    file 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29 · frame —
  2. 1Ferramenta
    infer.ols— Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO)v0.1.0call_721e8e30decidido pelo códigoreexecutável
    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": "sid",
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "castle",
      "fe": [
        "sid",
        "year"
      ],
      "intercept": true,
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "weights": null,
      "x": [
        "cdl"
      ],
      "y": "l_homicide"
    }
    Figuras call_721e8e30
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.cdl
    Coefficient on cdl in the regression of l_homicide
    0,08770140.087701384905396150,06689910.06689912458805584-0,0467374 – 0,22214
    Diagnósticos
    • n_obs = 550550 (observations used)
    • k = 6161 (parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included)
    • r2 = 0,9105470.9105468478338682
    • df_resid = 489489
    • se_type = "cluster" (cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'sid')
    • n_clusters = 5050 (50 clusters of 'sid')
    • fixed_effects = "sid (50 levels), year (11 levels)" (absorbed as dummies; their coefficients are not tabulated)
    Derivação matemática e pressupostos
    coef.cdl
    1. Coeficiente de cdl na regressão por mínimos quadrados ordinários de l_homicide, efeitos fixos de sid, year.→ 0,0877014 (0.08770138490539615)
    2. Erro-padrão robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.ep = √V_jj→ 0,0668991 (0.06689912458805584)
    3. Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição t de Student com 49 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padrão.IC = β ± c · ep
    Pressupostos do estimador
    • the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors
    • errors are independent across clusters of 'sid' and may be correlated within them
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 2.035267779456797,
          "ci_low": 1.8549305947048351,
          "coef": 1.945099187080816,
          "p": 9.62431952152882e-41,
          "se": 0.04486947824097916,
          "t": 43.350162813000196,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.222140209063177,
          "ci_low": -0.0467374392523847,
          "coef": 0.08770138490539615,
          "p": 0.1959855599903869,
          "se": 0.06689912458805584,
          "t": 1.3109496640716034,
          "term": "cdl"
        }
      ]
    }
    Hashes SHA-256 e metadados de reprodução
    Digests dos dados
    castle 6a9af2b4a14b985d82e0f3aea93c535c24cfc2497c4d9f07242bac5f84ae11c1
    sha256 do resultado
    e6ade8af5209a7f48f60d9bdc6044de1e43843cbc06af1120a73bb08ce0f135f
  3. 2Pontuação
    #0figura próximapassouobrigatória0.08770138491 vs 0.08770138490539588
  4. 3Pontuação
    #1figura próximapassouobrigatória0.06689912459 vs 0.06689912458805553
  5. 4Pontuação
    #2figura próximapassouobrigatória0.08770138491 vs 0.0877
  6. 5Pontuação
    #3figura próximafalhouregistrada0.06689912459 vs 0.0638

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#0123
Época 1passoupassoupassoufalhou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

Downloads desta tarefa

Pacote da tarefa (.zip)
60,4 KB · sha256 cd6685b00f5ac2fa233effec1465bf550e9c843c94f463fc68e5e790db9bb5b3

O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.

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sources/cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.paper.json2,7 KBf83d51e7deab5dfe1145eba61b515167ae263650219df09f7a0573362aeebd80
sources/cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.software.json1,3 KBafc756ac6934e7684ba49d2ec19498261def6fd386c6a898c72589aa07ebfd82
specs/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.tool.json6,5 KB554433dc42fa27ce7c6e9b6880b3e1f2a96b9190bd744bffcda222be3d23bcff
traces/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.tool.e1.a1.jsonl3,5 KBc0c4fc006760944f76910c190fa2dd6fccce64b6ddfb88d42cc7c1c734ad2048
trajectories/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pb_c1.tool.e1.a1.jsonl8,3 KB0cb21722642ded5bd602881e8ee0707be4930ad14bce1fe149aa5c7d8de6b94b