Tarefa crb_papers.q001
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO) · infer.ols (did · OLS on the interaction of a group indicator and a period indicator (2x2 difference in differences))
coef.interaction =-0,0834813-0.0834813334522015coef.interaction =[-0.9011559907613045,0.7341933238568388]Pergunta feita ao analista
For countries that newly experienced at least one fatal armed conflict in 2000-2002, how did the log of annual non-fuel mineral exploration investment change relative to countries that remained conflict-free in both 1997-1999 and 2000-2002?
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -0,08348. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Como o agente resolveu e como foi validado
Resumo passo a passo do que o agente executou, por que o caminho está correto e como cada verificação conferiu o resultado.
- 1Preparação da base de dados
ds_0001— | Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | dv | Natural log of total annual exploration spending on non‑fuel minerals (USD, constant 1997) plus one, aggregated to the country–year. Figures come from SNL Metals & Mining’s compilation of company surveys and reports and cover activities such as drilling, geophysics, sampling, assaying, and feasibility studies for metals and minerals (e.g., copper, gold, diamonds, iron ore, silver, uranium). Values are deflated to 1997 dollars and summed across firms within each country and year; the log(+1) form preserves observations with zero reported spending. | | ucdp_lead | Indicator equal to 1 if the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset records at least one fatal armed conflict event within the country in the current calendar year or the previous year; 0 otherwise. UCDP defines events as organized use of armed force resulting in at least one direct death and classifies state‑based, one‑sided, and non‑state violence. | | country | Country or territory corresponding to the observation. The panel spans a broad global sample (about 177 countries). | | year | Calendar year of the observation (1997–2014). Stored numerically; represents the Gregorian year. | Dataset Context: This global panel links country–year exploration budgets in the mining sector with standardized information on the presence of armed conflict. Exploration spending is compiled by SNL Metals & Mining from company surveys and public financial reports, then aggregated from firm-level entries to the country–year level. The series covers commercially oriented exploration for non‑fuel minerals—such as base and precious metals, diamonds, iron ore, rare earths, and uranium—and excludes hydrocarbons. Expenditures typically encompass early‑stage and appraisal activities (e.g., drilling campaigns, geophysical surveys, sampling and assaying, scoping and feasibility studies). SNL’s process captures the vast majority of global nonferrous exploration outlays and excludes very small projects below common reporting thresholds; amounts are converted to constant 1997 USD to remove the effects of inflation. Because many country–years legitimately report zero exploration, the spending measure is stored as ln(expenditure + 1). Conflict information is sourced from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program’s georeferenced event data, which catalogs individual incidents where organized actors use armed force resulting in at least one direct fatality. Events include state‑based battles, one‑sided violence against civilians, and non‑state clashes. For each country–year, the dataset flags whether any fatal incident occurred in that year or the year immediately prior, capturing near‑term conflict conditions that overlap with annual financial reporting cycles. The 1997–2014 window spans substantial swings in global metals prices and investment appetites, including the mid‑2000s commodity upcycle and subsequent downturn, and includes both “junior” and “major” mining companies whose exploration budgets respond to financing conditions and market sentiment. The resulting dataset provides harmonized, inflation‑adjusted coverage of exploration activity across roughly 177 countries aligned with a consistent, event‑based record of armed conflict incidence.ref_panelref_postref_preTransformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (3186 → 531 linhas).{"query":"year in [1997, 1998, 1999]"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (531 → 177 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"mean","name":"y0"},{"column":"ucdp_lead","fn":"mean","name":"d_pre"}],"by":["country"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_post" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_post" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_post" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_post" (3186 → 531 linhas).{"query":"year in [2000, 2001, 2002]"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_post" (531 → 177 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"mean","name":"y1"},{"column":"ucdp_lead","fn":"mean","name":"d_post"}],"by":["country"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (3186 → 3186 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (3186 → 1062 linhas).{"query":"year in [1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002]"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (1062 → 177 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["country"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (177 → 177 linhas).{"columns":["country"]}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (177 → 177 linhas).{"how":"inner","on":["country"],"with":"ref_pre"}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (177 → 177 linhas).{"how":"inner","on":["country"],"with":"ref_post"}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (177 → 107 linhas).{"query":"d_pre == 0 and (d_post > 0 or d_post == 0)"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (107 → 107 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"d_post","value":0},"name":"treated","op":"indicator"}Transformação "reshape_long" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (107 → 214 linhas).{"id":["country"],"j":"post","stubs":["y"]}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (214 → 214 linhas).{"args":{"columns":["treated","post"]},"name":"interaction","op":"interaction"} - 2Chamada que gerou a resposta finalVer chamada call_31d40207 nos detalhes
infer.ols(Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO))citada na respostacoincide com a referênciasm.OLS(y ~ const + treated + post + interaction), cov_type='cluster' by country
Por que este é o caminho de referência: sm.OLS(y ~ const + treated + post + interaction), cov_type='cluster' by countryArgumentos principais- cluster:
"country"- controls:
["treated","post"]- dataset:
"ref_panel"- intercept:
true- level:
- 0,95
0.95 - se:
"HC1"- x:
["interaction"]- y:
"y"
Resultado calculadocoef.interaction= -0,0834813-0.0834813334522015Coefficient on interaction in the regression of y
Diagnósticos:n_obs= 214214(observations used) ·k= 44(parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included) ·r2= 0,05486090.054860876876529185·df_resid= 210210·se_type="cluster"(cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'country') ·n_clusters= 107107(107 clusters of 'country') - 3Conferência de lastro e resposta final
Todos os 1 números escritos na resposta foram conferidos contra as ferramentas e o enunciado (nenhum número sem lastro).
Números encontrados:-0,08348Figuras citadas:call_31d40207:coef.interaction- #0resposta com lastroevery number traced to a tool call or the question
- #1figura da resposta próximaCRB estimate_within_solution_ci: the answer figure inside the gold 95% interval effect ± 1.96·|SE| of source crb_papers.q001.gold (closed, evaluate_result.py; no --auto-rescale)
- #2figura da resposta próximareplication cell: the gold effect to rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6·SE); never required
- #3figura da resposta próximareplication cell: the gold SE to rel 1e-6; never required
Aprofundamento técnico para especialistas
Acesso direto às fontes primárias, tabela formal de verificações, comparação de argumentos, trajetória completa com prompts brutos e somas SHA-256.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q001.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 1 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['1'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 1: effect -0.0834813, standard_error 0.417181
- Valor como publicado
-0.08348133345223285- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.4171809476066692- Valor
- -0,0834813
-0.08348133345223285(se 0,4171810.4171809476066692) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: -0,0834813
-0.08348133345223285· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.1718094760666917e-7 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,417181
0.4171809476066692· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.1718094760666917e-7
crb_papers.q001.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 1
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/DiD/Blair_etal_2022/question_1/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 1899 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
dd3e081e9cc3fa7325e2b2c30704a80eecae8d7bf024a367ae3adb399f80f0a3(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Blair_etal_2022/question_1/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Especificação técnica do gabarito
CausalReasoningBenchmark gold at the pinned revision: causal_queries.json effect and standard_error (the value the item's estimation.py prints), scored as evaluate_result.py scores estimate_within_solution_ci
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number traced to a tool call or the question every number backed | obrigatória | passou | 0 sem lastro | 0 sem lastro[] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima CRB estimate_within_solution_ci: the answer figure inside the gold 95% interval effect ± 1.96·|SE| of source crb_papers.q001.gold (closed, evaluate_result.py; no --auto-rescale) -0.08348133345 in [-0.9011559908, 0.7341933239]? | obrigatória | passou | [-0.9011559907613045,0.7341933238568388] | -0,0834813-0.0834813334522015 | interval · [-0.9011559907613045, 0.7341933238568388] | — | call_31d40207 |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima replication cell: the gold effect to rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6·SE); never required -0.08348133345 vs -0.08348133345223285 | registrada | passou | -0,0834813-0.08348133345223285 | -0,0834813-0.0834813334522015 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.1718094760666917e-7 | crb_papers.q001.gold | call_31d40207 |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima replication cell: the gold SE to rel 1e-6; never required 0.4171809476 vs 0.4171809476066692 | registrada | passou | 0,4171810.4171809476066692 | 0,4171810.4171809476066827 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.1718094760666917e-7 | crb_papers.q001.gold | call_31d40207 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | "country" | "country" | igual |
| controls | ["treated","post"] | ["treated","post"] | igual |
| dataset | "ref_panel" | "ref_panel" | igual |
| fe | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| weights | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| x | ["interaction"] | ["interaction"] | igual |
| y | "y" | "y" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
For countries that newly experienced at least one fatal armed conflict in 2000-2002, how did the log of annual non-fuel mineral exploration investment change relative to countries that remained conflict-free in both 1997-1999 and 2000-2002?
ds_0001(agent)| Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | dv | Natural log of total annual exploration spending on non‑fuel minerals (USD, constant 1997) plus one, aggregated to the country–year. Figures come from SNL Metals & Mining’s compilation of company surveys and reports and cover activities such as drilling, geophysics, sampling, assaying, and feasibility studies for metals and minerals (e.g., copper, gold, diamonds, iron ore, silver, uranium). Values are deflated to 1997 dollars and summed across firms within each country and year; the log(+1) form preserves observations with zero reported spending. | | ucdp_lead | Indicator equal to 1 if the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset records at least one fatal armed conflict event within the country in the current calendar year or the previous year; 0 otherwise. UCDP defines events as organized use of armed force resulting in at least one direct death and classifies state‑based, one‑sided, and non‑state violence. | | country | Country or territory corresponding to the observation. The panel spans a broad global sample (about 177 countries). | | year | Calendar year of the observation (1997–2014). Stored numerically; represents the Gregorian year. | Dataset Context: This global panel links country–year exploration budgets in the mining sector with standardized information on the presence of armed conflict. Exploration spending is compiled by SNL Metals & Mining from company surveys and public financial reports, then aggregated from firm-level entries to the country–year level. The series covers commercially oriented exploration for non‑fuel minerals—such as base and precious metals, diamonds, iron ore, rare earths, and uranium—and excludes hydrocarbons. Expenditures typically encompass early‑stage and appraisal activities (e.g., drilling campaigns, geophysical surveys, sampling and assaying, scoping and feasibility studies). SNL’s process captures the vast majority of global nonferrous exploration outlays and excludes very small projects below common reporting thresholds; amounts are converted to constant 1997 USD to remove the effects of inflation. Because many country–years legitimately report zero exploration, the spending measure is stored as ln(expenditure + 1). Conflict information is sourced from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program’s georeferenced event data, which catalogs individual incidents where organized actors use armed force resulting in at least one direct fatality. Events include state‑based battles, one‑sided violence against civilians, and non‑state clashes. For each country–year, the dataset flags whether any fatal incident occurred in that year or the year immediately prior, capturing near‑term conflict conditions that overlap with annual financial reporting cycles. The 1997–2014 window spans substantial swings in global metals prices and investment appetites, including the mid‑2000s commodity upcycle and subsequent downturn, and includes both “junior” and “major” mining companies whose exploration budgets respond to financing conditions and market sentiment. The resulting dataset provides harmonized, inflation‑adjusted coverage of exploration activity across roughly 177 countries aligned with a consistent, event‑based record of armed conflict incidence.
file887d9adebe0378bfe7ea873256a67275c50fc96aab151431c32de798d1756d41· frame —ref_panel(reference)file887d9adebe0378bfe7ea873256a67275c50fc96aab151431c32de798d1756d41· frame —select{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}dropna{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}filter{"query":"year in [1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002]"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["country"]}select{"columns":["country"]}merge{"how":"inner","on":["country"],"with":"ref_pre"}merge{"how":"inner","on":["country"],"with":"ref_post"}filter{"query":"d_pre == 0 and (d_post > 0 or d_post == 0)"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"d_post","value":0},"name":"treated","op":"indicator"}reshape_long{"id":["country"],"j":"post","stubs":["y"]}derive{"args":{"columns":["treated","post"]},"name":"interaction","op":"interaction"}
ref_post(reference)file887d9adebe0378bfe7ea873256a67275c50fc96aab151431c32de798d1756d41· frame —select{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}dropna{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}filter{"query":"year in [2000, 2001, 2002]"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"mean","name":"y1"},{"column":"ucdp_lead","fn":"mean","name":"d_post"}],"by":["country"]}
ref_pre(reference)file887d9adebe0378bfe7ea873256a67275c50fc96aab151431c32de798d1756d41· frame —select{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}dropna{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}filter{"query":"year in [1997, 1998, 1999]"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"mean","name":"y0"},{"column":"ucdp_lead","fn":"mean","name":"d_pre"}],"by":["country"]}
- 1Transformação
ref_pre·select{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:6fc175d00f59→a23840f8ea16 - 2Transformação
ref_pre·dropna{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→a23840f8ea16 - 3Transformação
ref_pre·derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→a23840f8ea16 - 4Transformação
ref_pre·filter{"query":"year in [1997, 1998, 1999]"}3186 → 531 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→142e9561d859 - 5Transformação
ref_pre·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"mean","name":"y0"},{"column":"ucdp_lead","fn":"mean","name":"d_pre"}],"by":["country"]}531 → 177 linhasFrame antes → depois:142e9561d859→d7feed5e8ef0 - 6Transformação
ref_post·select{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:6fc175d00f59→a23840f8ea16 - 7Transformação
ref_post·dropna{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→a23840f8ea16 - 8Transformação
ref_post·derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→a23840f8ea16 - 9Transformação
ref_post·filter{"query":"year in [2000, 2001, 2002]"}3186 → 531 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→c3ee4ac54e46 - 10Transformação
ref_post·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"mean","name":"y1"},{"column":"ucdp_lead","fn":"mean","name":"d_post"}],"by":["country"]}531 → 177 linhasFrame antes → depois:c3ee4ac54e46→b99159d2aa0c - 11Transformação
ref_panel·select{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:6fc175d00f59→a23840f8ea16 - 12Transformação
ref_panel·dropna{"columns":["country","year","dv","ucdp_lead"]}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→a23840f8ea16 - 13Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"ucdp_lead","value":0},"name":"ucdp_lead","op":"indicator"}3186 → 3186 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→a23840f8ea16 - 14Transformação
ref_panel·filter{"query":"year in [1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002]"}3186 → 1062 linhasFrame antes → depois:a23840f8ea16→d999769ee1a4 - 15Transformação
ref_panel·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"dv","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["country"]}1062 → 177 linhasFrame antes → depois:d999769ee1a4→b336986f44ea - 16Transformação
ref_panel·select{"columns":["country"]}177 → 177 linhasFrame antes → depois:b336986f44ea→08a3639bb0e5 - 17Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"inner","on":["country"],"with":"ref_pre"}177 → 177 linhasFrame antes → depois:08a3639bb0e5→d7feed5e8ef0 - 18Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"inner","on":["country"],"with":"ref_post"}177 → 177 linhasFrame antes → depois:d7feed5e8ef0→ab51dba11ec7 - 19Transformação
ref_panel·filter{"query":"d_pre == 0 and (d_post > 0 or d_post == 0)"}177 → 107 linhasFrame antes → depois:ab51dba11ec7→af858aed933d - 20Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"cmp":"gt","column":"d_post","value":0},"name":"treated","op":"indicator"}107 → 107 linhasFrame antes → depois:af858aed933d→7f6fa963eef5 - 21Transformação
ref_panel·reshape_long{"id":["country"],"j":"post","stubs":["y"]}107 → 214 linhasFrame antes → depois:7f6fa963eef5→9817d5d8a8dc - 22Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"columns":["treated","post"]},"name":"interaction","op":"interaction"}214 → 214 linhasFrame antes → depois:9817d5d8a8dc→2b9356ec0b9b - 23Turno do modelo
call_393855a1referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelsm.OLS(y ~ const + treated + post + interaction), cov_type='cluster' by country
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "cluster": "country", "controls": [ "treated", "post" ], "dataset": "ref_panel", "x": [ "interaction" ], "y": "y" }
- 24Ferramenta
infer.ols— Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO)v0.1.0call_31d40207decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: sm.OLS(y ~ const + treated + post + interaction), cov_type='cluster' by country
Argumentos
{ "cluster": "country", "controls": [ "treated", "post" ], "dataset": "ref_panel", "fe": [], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "weights": null, "x": [ "interaction" ], "y": "y" }Figuras call_31d40207 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.interaction Coefficient on interaction in the regression of y-0,0834813 -0.08348133345220150,417181 0.4171809476066827-0,910583 – 0,74362 Diagnósticosn_obs= 214214(observations used)k= 44(parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included)r2= 0,05486090.054860876876529185df_resid= 210210se_type="cluster"(cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'country')n_clusters= 107107(107 clusters of 'country')
Derivação matemática e pressupostos
coef.interaction- Coeficiente de interaction na regressão por mínimos quadrados ordinários de y.→ -0,0834813 (-0.0834813334522015)
- Erro-padrão robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.
ep = √V_jj→ 0,417181 (0.4171809476066827) - Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição t de Student com 106 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padrão.
IC = β ± c · ep
Pressupostos do estimador- the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors
- errors are independent across clusters of 'country' and may be correlated within them
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 9.342532612089958, "ci_low": 6.364856763953857, "coef": 7.853694688021908, "p": 5.168148451502389e-18, "se": 0.7509532837457076, "t": 10.458299947565546, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 0.7436204709335442, "ci_low": -0.9105831378379473, "coef": -0.0834813334522015, "p": 0.8417793598356013, "se": 0.4171809476066827, "t": -0.2001082118709494, "term": "interaction" }, { "ci_high": 11.693861258863539, "ci_low": 1.9433977612381854, "coef": 6.8186295100508625, "p": 0.006565168162864022, "se": 2.459012651147964, "t": 2.7729135540915815, "term": "treated" }, { "ci_high": -0.18115594914199162, "ci_low": -1.600974686324159, "coef": -0.8910653177330753, "p": 0.014383952558234266, "se": 0.358070386901932, "t": -2.488519995866398, "term": "post" } ] }Hashes SHA-256 e metadados de reprodução
- Digests dos dados
ref_panel2b9356ec0b9bde6fad91668b9d998d6f995d46c83231f41522dcf118f76c42fa- sha256 do resultado
fa985a616e098724bea9c459e2defd64f85ed7b2b67761466ad54c208d0f9f89
- 25Turno do modelo
call_ad7b38dereferenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -0,08348. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_31d40207:coef.interaction" ] }
- 26Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- -0,08348
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 27Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -0,08348. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Figuras citadas:call_31d40207:coef.interaction· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_31d40207:coef.interaction= -0,0834813-0.0834813334522015(se 0,4171810.4171809476066827) - 28Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 29Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
-0.08348133345 in [-0.9011559908, 0.7341933239]? - 30Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
-0.08348133345 vs -0.08348133345223285 - 31Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
0.4171809476 vs 0.4171809476066692
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
ff6f2dfe4194cfa38d9a839c79216df5b703bd8cd41bf35878f931563d482b74O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
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