Tarefa crb_papers.q029
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO) · infer.ols (did · OLS on the interaction of a group indicator and a period indicator (2x2 difference in differences))
coef.g_post =0,8152720.8152716551072007coef.g_post =[-0.09401291005604573,1.7245562202704523]Pergunta feita ao analista
For municipalities that first moved to council-based naturalization decisions in 2006 or 2009, how much did ordinary naturalization rates change from 1991 to 2009 relative to municipalities that never changed their local decision regime?
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.g_post = 0,8153. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Como o agente resolveu e como foi validado
Resumo passo a passo do que o agente executou, por que o caminho está correto e como cada verificação conferiu o resultado.
- 1Preparação da base de dados
ds_0015— | Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | bfs | Swiss Federal Statistical Office (BFS) municipality code: a stable numeric identifier for each municipality in the panel. | | year | Calendar year of the observation (1991–2009). Institutional status is referenced as of January 1 of the given year, and annual rates are computed for the same year. | | nat_rate_ord | Ordinary naturalization rate (percent). Computed as the number of ordinary naturalizations recorded during the year divided by the stock of foreign residents who met statutory eligibility at the start of the year in the same municipality, multiplied by 100. Ordinary naturalizations refer to the standard pathway (as opposed to federally handled “facilitated” cases). | | indirect | Local decision procedure in place on January 1: 1 if applications were decided by the elected municipal council (representative/indirect democracy); 0 if applications were decided by citizens in a local vote (direct democracy). | Dataset Context: This dataset is an annual municipality–year panel for Switzerland that spans a period of institutional change in how local authorities decide on citizenship applications. Switzerland’s “triple citizenship” system assigns a central role to municipalities in evaluating and deciding ordinary naturalization requests. During the 1990s and 2000s, municipalities used different decision procedures: in some, citizens voted on applications (often at a citizens’ assembly and, historically in a few places, by ballot); in others, elected municipal councils rendered the decisions. A series of Swiss Federal Court rulings in 2003–2005 curtailed secret-ballot referendums for naturalizations and required municipalities to provide formal justifications for rejections. Several cantons subsequently updated their laws, and many municipalities revised or formalized their procedures, frequently shifting decision authority to municipal councils. The indicator in this file captures, for each municipality and year, which procedure was in force as of January 1. The panel combines two types of information. First, administrative registers from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office (PETRA: Foreign Population Structure and Migration Statistics) are used to derive annual ordinary naturalization rates. These rates are constructed as ordinary naturalizations completed within a year divided by the number of foreign residents who met the legal eligibility criteria at the start of that year, providing a comparable percentage measure across municipalities and over time. Second, the coding of local decision procedures relies on a nationwide survey of municipal head secretaries and systematic compilation of cantonal regulations and court decisions. The measurement convention aligns the institutional status to January 1 to enhance comparability across municipalities, recognizing that formal switches may occur during a calendar year. Ordinary naturalizations represent the standard route to citizenship and, in the study period, typically occurred after lengthy processing that could extend several years from initial application to final local vote. Facilitated naturalizations—handled centrally under federal law (for example, for certain spouses of Swiss citizens)—are not included in the numerator of the ordinary naturalization rate. The resulting dataset provides a consistent view of local institutions and annual naturalization activity across more than a decade and a half, covering the pre- and post-reform environment in which many municipalities updated their decision-making arrangements.ref_firstref_maxref_panelref_yearsTransformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_first" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_first" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_first" (22971 → 7836 linhas).{"query":"indirect == 1"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_first" (7836 → 797 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"year","fn":"min","name":"sw"}],"by":["bfs"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_years" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_years" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_years" (22971 → 2418 linhas).{"query":"year in [1991, 2009]"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_years" (2418 → 2418 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"nat_rate_ord","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["bfs","year"]}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_years" (2418 → 1209 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"n","fn":"count","name":"nyears"}],"by":["bfs"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_max" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_max" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_max" (22971 → 1209 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"indirect","fn":"max","name":"imax"}],"by":["bfs"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (22971 → 22971 linhas).{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (22971 → 2418 linhas).{"query":"year in [1991, 2009]"}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (2418 → 2418 linhas).{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_first"}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (2418 → 2418 linhas).{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_years"}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (2418 → 2418 linhas).{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_max"}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (2418 → 1378 linhas).{"query":"nyears == 2 and (sw in [2006, 2009] or imax == 0)"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (1378 → 1378 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"in","column":"sw","value":[2006,2009]},"name":"group_treated","op":"indicator"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (1378 → 1378 linhas).{"args":{"column":"group_treated","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"group_treated","op":"map"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (1378 → 1378 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2009},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (1378 → 1378 linhas).{"args":{"columns":["group_treated","post"]},"name":"g_post","op":"interaction"} - 2Chamada que gerou a resposta finalVer chamada call_a45fb98d nos detalhes
infer.ols(Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO))citada na respostacoincide com a referênciasm.OLS(y, add_constant([group_treated, post, g_post])).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=bfs) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)
Por que este é o caminho de referência: sm.OLS(y, add_constant([group_treated, post, g_post])).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=bfs) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)Argumentos principais- cluster:
"bfs"- controls:
["group_treated","post"]- dataset:
"ref_panel"- intercept:
true- level:
- 0,95
0.95 - se:
"HC1"- x:
["g_post"]- y:
"nat_rate_ord"
Resultado calculadocoef.g_post= 0,8152720.8152716551072007Coefficient on g_post in the regression of nat_rate_ord
Diagnósticos:n_obs= 1.3781378(observations used) ·k= 44(parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included) ·r2= 0,0681330.0681330291116381·df_resid= 1.3741374·se_type="cluster"(cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'bfs') ·n_clusters= 689689(689 clusters of 'bfs') - 3Conferência de lastro e resposta final
Todos os 1 números escritos na resposta foram conferidos contra as ferramentas e o enunciado (nenhum número sem lastro).
Números encontrados:0,8153Figuras citadas:call_a45fb98d:coef.g_post- #0resposta com lastroevery number traced to a tool call or the question
- #1figura da resposta próximaCRB estimate_within_solution_ci: the answer figure inside the gold 95% interval effect ± 1.96·|SE| of source crb_papers.q029.gold (closed, evaluate_result.py; no --auto-rescale)
- #2figura da resposta próximareplication cell: the gold effect to rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6·SE); never required
- #3figura da resposta próximareplication cell: the gold SE to rel 1e-6; never required
Aprofundamento técnico para especialistas
Acesso direto às fontes primárias, tabela formal de verificações, comparação de argumentos, trajetória completa com prompts brutos e somas SHA-256.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q029.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 29 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['29'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 29: effect 0.815272, standard_error 0.463921
- Valor como publicado
0.8152716551072032- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.46392069651186174- Valor
- 0,815272
0.8152716551072032(se 0,4639210.46392069651186174) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: 0,815272
0.8152716551072032· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.639206965118617e-7 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,463921
0.46392069651186174· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.639206965118617e-7
crb_papers.q029.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 29
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/DiD/Hainmueller_Hangartner_2019/question_2/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 2682 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
955cfba911624072407f79e3af23c1c990807c4b0c1e7edd0bddf277996c439d(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Hainmueller_Hangartner_2019/question_2/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Especificação técnica do gabarito
CausalReasoningBenchmark gold at the pinned revision: causal_queries.json effect and standard_error (the value the item's estimation.py prints), scored as evaluate_result.py scores estimate_within_solution_ci
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number traced to a tool call or the question every number backed | obrigatória | passou | 0 sem lastro | 0 sem lastro[] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima CRB estimate_within_solution_ci: the answer figure inside the gold 95% interval effect ± 1.96·|SE| of source crb_papers.q029.gold (closed, evaluate_result.py; no --auto-rescale) 0.8152716551 in [-0.09401291006, 1.72455622]? | obrigatória | passou | [-0.09401291005604573,1.7245562202704523] | 0,8152720.8152716551072007 | interval · [-0.09401291005604573, 1.7245562202704523] | — | call_a45fb98d |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima replication cell: the gold effect to rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6·SE); never required 0.8152716551 vs 0.8152716551072032 | registrada | passou | 0,8152720.8152716551072032 | 0,8152720.8152716551072007 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.639206965118617e-7 | crb_papers.q029.gold | call_a45fb98d |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima replication cell: the gold SE to rel 1e-6; never required 0.4639206965 vs 0.46392069651186174 | registrada | passou | 0,4639210.46392069651186174 | 0,4639210.4639206965118652 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.639206965118617e-7 | crb_papers.q029.gold | call_a45fb98d |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | "bfs" | "bfs" | igual |
| controls | ["group_treated","post"] | ["group_treated","post"] | igual |
| dataset | "ref_panel" | "ref_panel" | igual |
| fe | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| weights | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| x | ["g_post"] | ["g_post"] | igual |
| y | "nat_rate_ord" | "nat_rate_ord" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
For municipalities that first moved to council-based naturalization decisions in 2006 or 2009, how much did ordinary naturalization rates change from 1991 to 2009 relative to municipalities that never changed their local decision regime?
ds_0015(agent)| Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | bfs | Swiss Federal Statistical Office (BFS) municipality code: a stable numeric identifier for each municipality in the panel. | | year | Calendar year of the observation (1991–2009). Institutional status is referenced as of January 1 of the given year, and annual rates are computed for the same year. | | nat_rate_ord | Ordinary naturalization rate (percent). Computed as the number of ordinary naturalizations recorded during the year divided by the stock of foreign residents who met statutory eligibility at the start of the year in the same municipality, multiplied by 100. Ordinary naturalizations refer to the standard pathway (as opposed to federally handled “facilitated” cases). | | indirect | Local decision procedure in place on January 1: 1 if applications were decided by the elected municipal council (representative/indirect democracy); 0 if applications were decided by citizens in a local vote (direct democracy). | Dataset Context: This dataset is an annual municipality–year panel for Switzerland that spans a period of institutional change in how local authorities decide on citizenship applications. Switzerland’s “triple citizenship” system assigns a central role to municipalities in evaluating and deciding ordinary naturalization requests. During the 1990s and 2000s, municipalities used different decision procedures: in some, citizens voted on applications (often at a citizens’ assembly and, historically in a few places, by ballot); in others, elected municipal councils rendered the decisions. A series of Swiss Federal Court rulings in 2003–2005 curtailed secret-ballot referendums for naturalizations and required municipalities to provide formal justifications for rejections. Several cantons subsequently updated their laws, and many municipalities revised or formalized their procedures, frequently shifting decision authority to municipal councils. The indicator in this file captures, for each municipality and year, which procedure was in force as of January 1. The panel combines two types of information. First, administrative registers from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office (PETRA: Foreign Population Structure and Migration Statistics) are used to derive annual ordinary naturalization rates. These rates are constructed as ordinary naturalizations completed within a year divided by the number of foreign residents who met the legal eligibility criteria at the start of that year, providing a comparable percentage measure across municipalities and over time. Second, the coding of local decision procedures relies on a nationwide survey of municipal head secretaries and systematic compilation of cantonal regulations and court decisions. The measurement convention aligns the institutional status to January 1 to enhance comparability across municipalities, recognizing that formal switches may occur during a calendar year. Ordinary naturalizations represent the standard route to citizenship and, in the study period, typically occurred after lengthy processing that could extend several years from initial application to final local vote. Facilitated naturalizations—handled centrally under federal law (for example, for certain spouses of Swiss citizens)—are not included in the numerator of the ordinary naturalization rate. The resulting dataset provides a consistent view of local institutions and annual naturalization activity across more than a decade and a half, covering the pre- and post-reform environment in which many municipalities updated their decision-making arrangements.
filee9ce75e30cb08926da17f27cb91ecb80f964f077f9a592e052d672b61239e8f9· frame —ref_first(reference)filee9ce75e30cb08926da17f27cb91ecb80f964f077f9a592e052d672b61239e8f9· frame —select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}filter{"query":"indirect == 1"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"year","fn":"min","name":"sw"}],"by":["bfs"]}
ref_max(reference)filee9ce75e30cb08926da17f27cb91ecb80f964f077f9a592e052d672b61239e8f9· frame —select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"indirect","fn":"max","name":"imax"}],"by":["bfs"]}
ref_panel(reference)filee9ce75e30cb08926da17f27cb91ecb80f964f077f9a592e052d672b61239e8f9· frame —select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}filter{"query":"year in [1991, 2009]"}merge{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_first"}merge{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_years"}merge{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_max"}filter{"query":"nyears == 2 and (sw in [2006, 2009] or imax == 0)"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"in","column":"sw","value":[2006,2009]},"name":"group_treated","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"column":"group_treated","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"group_treated","op":"map"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2009},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"columns":["group_treated","post"]},"name":"g_post","op":"interaction"}
ref_years(reference)filee9ce75e30cb08926da17f27cb91ecb80f964f077f9a592e052d672b61239e8f9· frame —select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}filter{"query":"year in [1991, 2009]"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"nat_rate_ord","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["bfs","year"]}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"n","fn":"count","name":"nyears"}],"by":["bfs"]}
- 1Transformação
ref_first·select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 2Transformação
ref_first·dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 3Transformação
ref_first·filter{"query":"indirect == 1"}22971 → 7836 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→8ab632303c72 - 4Transformação
ref_first·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"year","fn":"min","name":"sw"}],"by":["bfs"]}7836 → 797 linhasFrame antes → depois:8ab632303c72→8781603036ea - 5Transformação
ref_years·select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 6Transformação
ref_years·dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 7Transformação
ref_years·filter{"query":"year in [1991, 2009]"}22971 → 2418 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→a774e1115874 - 8Transformação
ref_years·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"nat_rate_ord","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["bfs","year"]}2418 → 2418 linhasFrame antes → depois:a774e1115874→88999a19f8f6 - 9Transformação
ref_years·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"n","fn":"count","name":"nyears"}],"by":["bfs"]}2418 → 1209 linhasFrame antes → depois:88999a19f8f6→fe46190a8274 - 10Transformação
ref_max·select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 11Transformação
ref_max·dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 12Transformação
ref_max·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"indirect","fn":"max","name":"imax"}],"by":["bfs"]}22971 → 1209 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→76a79e73bcae - 13Transformação
ref_panel·select{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord","indirect"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 14Transformação
ref_panel·dropna{"columns":["bfs","year","nat_rate_ord"]}22971 → 22971 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→b496d06ec0c7 - 15Transformação
ref_panel·filter{"query":"year in [1991, 2009]"}22971 → 2418 linhasFrame antes → depois:b496d06ec0c7→a774e1115874 - 16Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_first"}2418 → 2418 linhasFrame antes → depois:a774e1115874→fc5a995535da - 17Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_years"}2418 → 2418 linhasFrame antes → depois:fc5a995535da→239e1bc4971d - 18Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"left","on":["bfs"],"with":"ref_max"}2418 → 2418 linhasFrame antes → depois:239e1bc4971d→0dd836e8cd04 - 19Transformação
ref_panel·filter{"query":"nyears == 2 and (sw in [2006, 2009] or imax == 0)"}2418 → 1378 linhasFrame antes → depois:0dd836e8cd04→bd5360b17bf5 - 20Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"cmp":"in","column":"sw","value":[2006,2009]},"name":"group_treated","op":"indicator"}1378 → 1378 linhasFrame antes → depois:bd5360b17bf5→60d8f2cb9601 - 21Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"column":"group_treated","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"group_treated","op":"map"}1378 → 1378 linhasFrame antes → depois:60d8f2cb9601→25f6ca4b1040 - 22Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"year","value":2009},"name":"post","op":"indicator"}1378 → 1378 linhasFrame antes → depois:25f6ca4b1040→9b4f2f375f0b - 23Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"columns":["group_treated","post"]},"name":"g_post","op":"interaction"}1378 → 1378 linhasFrame antes → depois:9b4f2f375f0b→ebdf76679911 - 24Turno do modelo
call_fb0107c7referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelsm.OLS(y, add_constant([group_treated, post, g_post])).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=bfs) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "cluster": "bfs", "controls": [ "group_treated", "post" ], "dataset": "ref_panel", "x": [ "g_post" ], "y": "nat_rate_ord" }
- 25Ferramenta
infer.ols— Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO)v0.1.0call_a45fb98ddecidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: sm.OLS(y, add_constant([group_treated, post, g_post])).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=bfs) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)
Argumentos
{ "cluster": "bfs", "controls": [ "group_treated", "post" ], "dataset": "ref_panel", "fe": [], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "weights": null, "x": [ "g_post" ], "y": "nat_rate_ord" }Figuras call_a45fb98d Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.g_post Coefficient on g_post in the regression of nat_rate_ord0,815272 0.81527165510720070,463921 0.4639206965118652-0,0955986 – 1,72614 Diagnósticosn_obs= 1.3781378(observations used)k= 44(parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included)r2= 0,0681330.0681330291116381df_resid= 1.3741374se_type="cluster"(cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'bfs')n_clusters= 689689(689 clusters of 'bfs')
Derivação matemática e pressupostos
coef.g_post- Coeficiente de g_post na regressão por mínimos quadrados ordinários de nat_rate_ord.→ 0,815272 (0.8152716551072007)
- Erro-padrão robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.
ep = √V_jj→ 0,463921 (0.4639206965118652) - Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição t de Student com 688 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padrão.
IC = β ± c · ep
Pressupostos do estimador- the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors
- errors are independent across clusters of 'bfs' and may be correlated within them
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 1.2462499871036394, "ci_low": 0.6290205627191401, "coef": 0.9376352749113898, "p": 3.906749099702052e-9, "se": 0.1571823770741144, "t": 5.96526972275828, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 1.7261419123150346, "ci_low": -0.0955986021006332, "coef": 0.8152716551072007, "p": 0.07930267515443727, "se": 0.4639206965118652, "t": 1.7573513344782397, "term": "g_post" }, { "ci_high": 0.27482868552125517, "ci_low": -0.754355212649299, "coef": -0.2397632635640219, "p": 0.36061020028727475, "se": 0.26208985698011306, "t": -0.9148132107310614, "term": "group_treated" }, { "ci_high": 2.321744077839199, "ci_low": 1.3268314754153963, "coef": 1.8242877766272976, "p": 1.5788364395652995e-12, "se": 0.25336239921794285, "t": 7.200309841785329, "term": "post" } ] }Hashes SHA-256 e metadados de reprodução
- Digests dos dados
ref_panelebdf76679911c2cbbd78a3a2b0a2e948b8028561e2f2ecc89ccea5a1e6b3de48- sha256 do resultado
16251e64ab7925ecaf4da3ed1f4e0b4674cbf6c66b5b8651e0e6431675ffa366
- 26Turno do modelo
call_7cf7089ereferenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.g_post = 0,8153. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_a45fb98d:coef.g_post" ] }
- 27Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- 0,8153
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 28Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.g_post = 0,8153. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Figuras citadas:call_a45fb98d:coef.g_post· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_a45fb98d:coef.g_post= 0,8152720.8152716551072007(se 0,4639210.4639206965118652) - 29Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 30Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
0.8152716551 in [-0.09401291006, 1.72455622]? - 31Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
0.8152716551 vs 0.8152716551072032 - 32Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
0.4639206965 vs 0.46392069651186174
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
b111d96fed9a7ffd3afbde338143b5655d6dbb428380f8e9729dbfc91045051fO hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
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