Tarefa crb_papers.q045
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO) · infer.ols (did · OLS on the interaction of a group indicator and a period indicator (2x2 difference in differences))
coef.interaction =-2,17407-2.1740686776929077coef.interaction =[-2.9917375936547095,-1.3563997617311254]Pergunta feita ao analista
Among favela complexes where a UPP first became active at month index 606, how did the average monthly rate of fatal police shootings (Autos de Resistencia) per 100,000 residents change from month indices 594–605 to 606–617, relative to complexes that remained without an active UPP through 617, accounting for BOPE or armed-forces occupation?
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -2,174. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Como o agente resolveu e como foi validado
Resumo passo a passo do que o agente executou, por que o caminho está correto e como cada verificação conferiu o resultado.
- 1Preparação da base de dados
ds_0023— | Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | complexo_id | Stable numeric identifier for each favela complex (a cluster of adjacent favelas) used as the unit of observation across months. | | upp_post | Binary indicator equal to 1 in months when a Pacifying Police Unit is formally active in the complexo, and 0 otherwise. Reflects the period of permanent community-policing presence established by the state. | | bope | Binary indicator equal to 1 in months when the Special Police Operations Battalion (BOPE) or the armed forces maintained an occupation/stabilization presence in the complexo, and 0 otherwise. In the administrative records used here, these occupation periods are coded separately from the permanent posts. | | date | Integer month index running from 540 through 677 in this extract; an increase of 1 denotes one month. Use these recorded indices to select periods; no calendar-date conversion is specified here. | | autos_rate2 | Monthly rate per 100,000 residents of deaths officially registered as “Autos de Resistência” (fatalities during police operations) within the complexo. Incidents were geocoded to complexo boundaries and aggregated by month; rates use population estimates as denominators. | | complexo2 | Auxiliary numeric field carried over from the source export related to the complexo dimension; no substantive documentation provided in the materials. | Dataset Context: This panel assembles monthly records for favela complexes in Rio de Janeiro during a period when the state created permanent policing posts in selected territories. It integrates two administrative sources: (1) public security records on deaths registered during police operations (locally termed “Autos de Resistência” in the period covered) and (2) program logs detailing when permanent posts were active and when occupation/stabilization forces (BOPE or the armed forces) were present. Security incidents were geocoded to mapped complex boundaries, aggregated to the complex–month level, and converted to rates per 100,000 using census-based population estimates for each complex. The spatial unit—a complexo—groups adjacent favelas that share borders and, in practice, correspond to the operational footprint of policing deployments. The temporal resolution is monthly, spanning indices 540–677, a phase that includes the roll‑out and consolidation of permanent posts and earlier occupation phases. In the coding scheme used here, occupation/stabilization months and permanent‑post months are tracked with nonoverlapping indicators. For the comparison centered on first UPP activation at index 589, the earlier window is 577–588 and the later window is 589–600; comparison complexes remain without an active UPP through 600. For first activation at 606, the windows are 594–605 and 606–617, with comparison complexes remaining without an active UPP through 617. Each window contains 12 months. The outcome for each complex and window is its mean monthly fatal-shooting rate, not a cumulative count; the occupation indicator is likewise averaged within each window. Measurement follows local administrative definitions in effect at the time. “Autos de Resistência” reflects fatalities recorded as resulting from confrontations with police; these events were manually geocoded and then aggregated to complex–month cells. Rates normalize counts by resident population to facilitate comparisons across differently sized complexes and over time. As with any administrative system, users should be mindful of potential changes in reporting practices, geocoding precision, and population denominators when interpreting temporal or cross‑sectional variation.ref_panelref_postref_preref_tdTransformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_td" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_td" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_td" (36956 → 2127 linhas).{"query":"upp_post == 1"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_td" (2127 → 37 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"date","fn":"min","name":"td"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (36956 → 3420 linhas).{"query":"date >= 594 and date <= 605"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_pre" (3420 → 285 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean","name":"y0"},{"column":"bope","fn":"mean","name":"bope0"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_post" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_post" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_post" (36956 → 3420 linhas).{"query":"date >= 606 and date <= 617"}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_post" (3420 → 285 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean","name":"y1"},{"column":"bope","fn":"mean","name":"bope1"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}Transformação "dropna" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (36956 → 36956 linhas).{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}Transformação "collapse" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (36956 → 286 linhas).{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}Transformação "select" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (286 → 286 linhas).{"columns":["complexo_id"]}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (286 → 286 linhas).{"how":"left","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_td"}Transformação "filter" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (286 → 272 linhas).{"query":"td == 606 or td != td or td > 617"}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (272 → 271 linhas).{"how":"inner","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_pre"}Transformação "merge" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (271 → 271 linhas).{"how":"inner","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_post"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (271 → 271 linhas).{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"td","value":606},"name":"treated","op":"indicator"}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (271 → 271 linhas).{"args":{"column":"treated","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"treated","op":"map"}Transformação "reshape_long" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (271 → 542 linhas).{"id":["complexo_id"],"j":"post","stubs":["y","bope"]}Transformação "derive" aplicada à base "ref_panel" (542 → 542 linhas).{"args":{"columns":["treated","post"]},"name":"interaction","op":"interaction"} - 2Chamada que gerou a resposta finalVer chamada call_526ed370 nos detalhes
infer.ols(Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO))citada na respostacoincide com a referênciasm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)
Por que este é o caminho de referência: sm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)Argumentos principais- cluster:
"complexo_id"- controls:
["treated","post","bope"]- dataset:
"ref_panel"- intercept:
true- level:
- 0,95
0.95 - se:
"HC1"- x:
["interaction"]- y:
"y"
Resultado calculadocoef.interaction= -2,17407-2.1740686776929077Coefficient on interaction in the regression of y
Diagnósticos:n_obs= 542542(observations used) ·k= 55(parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included) ·r2= 0,00155030.0015502966885545533·df_resid= 537537·se_type="cluster"(cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'complexo_id') ·n_clusters= 271271(271 clusters of 'complexo_id') - 3Conferência de lastro e resposta final
Todos os 1 números escritos na resposta foram conferidos contra as ferramentas e o enunciado (nenhum número sem lastro).
Números encontrados:-2,174Figuras citadas:call_526ed370:coef.interaction- #0resposta com lastroevery number traced to a tool call or the question
- #1figura da resposta próximaCRB estimate_within_solution_ci: the answer figure inside the gold 95% interval effect ± 1.96·|SE| of source crb_papers.q045.gold (closed, evaluate_result.py; no --auto-rescale)
- #2figura da resposta próximareplication cell: the gold effect to rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6·SE); never required
- #3figura da resposta próximareplication cell: the gold SE to rel 1e-6; never required
Aprofundamento técnico para especialistas
Acesso direto às fontes primárias, tabela formal de verificações, comparação de argumentos, trajetória completa com prompts brutos e somas SHA-256.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q045.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 45 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['45'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 45: effect -2.17407, standard_error 0.417178
- Valor como publicado
-2.1740686776929175- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.41717801834785306- Valor
- -2,17407
-2.1740686776929175(se 0,4171780.41717801834785306) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: -2,17407
-2.1740686776929175· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.17178018347853e-7 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,417178
0.41717801834785306· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.17178018347853e-7
crb_papers.q045.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 45
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/DiD/Magaloni_etal_2020/question_2/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 2348 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
f8c1fccbcd6a31e8a81a52f549decf9e527697e77040a4bad8ef09d07cdba746(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/DiD/Magaloni_etal_2020/question_2/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Especificação técnica do gabarito
CausalReasoningBenchmark gold at the pinned revision: causal_queries.json effect and standard_error (the value the item's estimation.py prints), scored as evaluate_result.py scores estimate_within_solution_ci
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number traced to a tool call or the question every number backed | obrigatória | passou | 0 sem lastro | 0 sem lastro[] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima CRB estimate_within_solution_ci: the answer figure inside the gold 95% interval effect ± 1.96·|SE| of source crb_papers.q045.gold (closed, evaluate_result.py; no --auto-rescale) -2.174068678 in [-2.991737594, -1.356399762]? | obrigatória | passou | [-2.9917375936547095,-1.3563997617311254] | -2,17407-2.1740686776929077 | interval · [-2.9917375936547095, -1.3563997617311254] | — | call_526ed370 |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima replication cell: the gold effect to rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6·SE); never required -2.174068678 vs -2.1740686776929175 | registrada | passou | -2,17407-2.1740686776929175 | -2,17407-2.1740686776929077 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.17178018347853e-7 | crb_papers.q045.gold | call_526ed370 |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima replication cell: the gold SE to rel 1e-6; never required 0.4171780183 vs 0.41717801834785306 | registrada | passou | 0,4171780.41717801834785306 | 0,4171780.41717801834785523 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.17178018347853e-7 | crb_papers.q045.gold | call_526ed370 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | "complexo_id" | "complexo_id" | igual |
| controls | ["treated","post","bope"] | ["treated","post","bope"] | igual |
| dataset | "ref_panel" | "ref_panel" | igual |
| fe | — | [] | não fixado pela referência |
| intercept | — | true | não fixado pela referência |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | — | "HC1" | não fixado pela referência |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| weights | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| x | ["interaction"] | ["interaction"] | igual |
| y | "y" | "y" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
Among favela complexes where a UPP first became active at month index 606, how did the average monthly rate of fatal police shootings (Autos de Resistencia) per 100,000 residents change from month indices 594–605 to 606–617, relative to complexes that remained without an active UPP through 617, accounting for BOPE or armed-forces occupation?
ds_0023(agent)| Variable Name | Description | | --- | --- | | complexo_id | Stable numeric identifier for each favela complex (a cluster of adjacent favelas) used as the unit of observation across months. | | upp_post | Binary indicator equal to 1 in months when a Pacifying Police Unit is formally active in the complexo, and 0 otherwise. Reflects the period of permanent community-policing presence established by the state. | | bope | Binary indicator equal to 1 in months when the Special Police Operations Battalion (BOPE) or the armed forces maintained an occupation/stabilization presence in the complexo, and 0 otherwise. In the administrative records used here, these occupation periods are coded separately from the permanent posts. | | date | Integer month index running from 540 through 677 in this extract; an increase of 1 denotes one month. Use these recorded indices to select periods; no calendar-date conversion is specified here. | | autos_rate2 | Monthly rate per 100,000 residents of deaths officially registered as “Autos de Resistência” (fatalities during police operations) within the complexo. Incidents were geocoded to complexo boundaries and aggregated by month; rates use population estimates as denominators. | | complexo2 | Auxiliary numeric field carried over from the source export related to the complexo dimension; no substantive documentation provided in the materials. | Dataset Context: This panel assembles monthly records for favela complexes in Rio de Janeiro during a period when the state created permanent policing posts in selected territories. It integrates two administrative sources: (1) public security records on deaths registered during police operations (locally termed “Autos de Resistência” in the period covered) and (2) program logs detailing when permanent posts were active and when occupation/stabilization forces (BOPE or the armed forces) were present. Security incidents were geocoded to mapped complex boundaries, aggregated to the complex–month level, and converted to rates per 100,000 using census-based population estimates for each complex. The spatial unit—a complexo—groups adjacent favelas that share borders and, in practice, correspond to the operational footprint of policing deployments. The temporal resolution is monthly, spanning indices 540–677, a phase that includes the roll‑out and consolidation of permanent posts and earlier occupation phases. In the coding scheme used here, occupation/stabilization months and permanent‑post months are tracked with nonoverlapping indicators. For the comparison centered on first UPP activation at index 589, the earlier window is 577–588 and the later window is 589–600; comparison complexes remain without an active UPP through 600. For first activation at 606, the windows are 594–605 and 606–617, with comparison complexes remaining without an active UPP through 617. Each window contains 12 months. The outcome for each complex and window is its mean monthly fatal-shooting rate, not a cumulative count; the occupation indicator is likewise averaged within each window. Measurement follows local administrative definitions in effect at the time. “Autos de Resistência” reflects fatalities recorded as resulting from confrontations with police; these events were manually geocoded and then aggregated to complex–month cells. Rates normalize counts by resident population to facilitate comparisons across differently sized complexes and over time. As with any administrative system, users should be mindful of potential changes in reporting practices, geocoding precision, and population denominators when interpreting temporal or cross‑sectional variation.
file713df5a475f4ed9dbc7d9c5c5ae48ca0baaa990b25b56e1cf40b8c97ae7d78ad· frame —ref_panel(reference)file713df5a475f4ed9dbc7d9c5c5ae48ca0baaa990b25b56e1cf40b8c97ae7d78ad· frame —select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}select{"columns":["complexo_id"]}merge{"how":"left","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_td"}filter{"query":"td == 606 or td != td or td > 617"}merge{"how":"inner","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_pre"}merge{"how":"inner","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_post"}derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"td","value":606},"name":"treated","op":"indicator"}derive{"args":{"column":"treated","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"treated","op":"map"}reshape_long{"id":["complexo_id"],"j":"post","stubs":["y","bope"]}derive{"args":{"columns":["treated","post"]},"name":"interaction","op":"interaction"}
ref_post(reference)file713df5a475f4ed9dbc7d9c5c5ae48ca0baaa990b25b56e1cf40b8c97ae7d78ad· frame —select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}filter{"query":"date >= 606 and date <= 617"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean","name":"y1"},{"column":"bope","fn":"mean","name":"bope1"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}
ref_pre(reference)file713df5a475f4ed9dbc7d9c5c5ae48ca0baaa990b25b56e1cf40b8c97ae7d78ad· frame —select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}filter{"query":"date >= 594 and date <= 605"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean","name":"y0"},{"column":"bope","fn":"mean","name":"bope0"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}
ref_td(reference)file713df5a475f4ed9dbc7d9c5c5ae48ca0baaa990b25b56e1cf40b8c97ae7d78ad· frame —select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}filter{"query":"upp_post == 1"}collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"date","fn":"min","name":"td"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}
- 1Transformação
ref_td·select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:a5a16e216dcd→3b1627f1ee66 - 2Transformação
ref_td·dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→3b1627f1ee66 - 3Transformação
ref_td·filter{"query":"upp_post == 1"}36956 → 2127 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→4d2583acd8a2 - 4Transformação
ref_td·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"date","fn":"min","name":"td"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}2127 → 37 linhasFrame antes → depois:4d2583acd8a2→1ccb5551ea29 - 5Transformação
ref_pre·select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:a5a16e216dcd→3b1627f1ee66 - 6Transformação
ref_pre·dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→3b1627f1ee66 - 7Transformação
ref_pre·filter{"query":"date >= 594 and date <= 605"}36956 → 3420 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→3d8402cee8e4 - 8Transformação
ref_pre·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean","name":"y0"},{"column":"bope","fn":"mean","name":"bope0"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}3420 → 285 linhasFrame antes → depois:3d8402cee8e4→b31636c80119 - 9Transformação
ref_post·select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:a5a16e216dcd→3b1627f1ee66 - 10Transformação
ref_post·dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→3b1627f1ee66 - 11Transformação
ref_post·filter{"query":"date >= 606 and date <= 617"}36956 → 3420 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→e510be771875 - 12Transformação
ref_post·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"mean","name":"y1"},{"column":"bope","fn":"mean","name":"bope1"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}3420 → 285 linhasFrame antes → depois:e510be771875→90a230e2dc74 - 13Transformação
ref_panel·select{"columns":["complexo_id","upp_post","bope","date","autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:a5a16e216dcd→3b1627f1ee66 - 14Transformação
ref_panel·dropna{"columns":["autos_rate2"]}36956 → 36956 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→3b1627f1ee66 - 15Transformação
ref_panel·collapse{"aggs":[{"column":"autos_rate2","fn":"count","name":"n"}],"by":["complexo_id"]}36956 → 286 linhasFrame antes → depois:3b1627f1ee66→301a2801ada7 - 16Transformação
ref_panel·select{"columns":["complexo_id"]}286 → 286 linhasFrame antes → depois:301a2801ada7→137accc08167 - 17Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"left","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_td"}286 → 286 linhasFrame antes → depois:137accc08167→2cd0217c33eb - 18Transformação
ref_panel·filter{"query":"td == 606 or td != td or td > 617"}286 → 272 linhasFrame antes → depois:2cd0217c33eb→1859c4d25359 - 19Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"inner","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_pre"}272 → 271 linhasFrame antes → depois:1859c4d25359→b0c994396d24 - 20Transformação
ref_panel·merge{"how":"inner","on":["complexo_id"],"with":"ref_post"}271 → 271 linhasFrame antes → depois:b0c994396d24→74f3e1da70aa - 21Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"cmp":"eq","column":"td","value":606},"name":"treated","op":"indicator"}271 → 271 linhasFrame antes → depois:74f3e1da70aa→cee8b2e1635d - 22Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"column":"treated","default":0,"keep_unmapped":false,"mapping":[{"source":1,"target":1}]},"name":"treated","op":"map"}271 → 271 linhasFrame antes → depois:cee8b2e1635d→3c27cd326a9a - 23Transformação
ref_panel·reshape_long{"id":["complexo_id"],"j":"post","stubs":["y","bope"]}271 → 542 linhasFrame antes → depois:3c27cd326a9a→a05d629f2aef - 24Transformação
ref_panel·derive{"args":{"columns":["treated","post"]},"name":"interaction","op":"interaction"}542 → 542 linhasFrame antes → depois:a05d629f2aef→08a9abb05cbf - 25Turno do modelo
call_79383644referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelsm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)
Chamadas pedidasinfer.ols{ "cluster": "complexo_id", "controls": [ "treated", "post", "bope" ], "dataset": "ref_panel", "x": [ "interaction" ], "y": "y" }
- 26Ferramenta
infer.ols— Regressão linear por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO)v0.1.0call_526ed370decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: sm.OLS(y, [const, treated, post, interaction, bope]).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=unit, use_t=True) (CR1 errors with statsmodels' default G/(G-1)·(N-1)/(N-K) correction)
Argumentos
{ "cluster": "complexo_id", "controls": [ "treated", "post", "bope" ], "dataset": "ref_panel", "fe": [], "intercept": true, "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "weights": null, "x": [ "interaction" ], "y": "y" }Figuras call_526ed370 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.interaction Coefficient on interaction in the regression of y-2,17407 -2.17406867769290770,417178 0.41717801834785523-2,9954 – -1,35273 Diagnósticosn_obs= 542542(observations used)k= 55(parameters estimated, fixed-effect dummies included)r2= 0,00155030.0015502966885545533df_resid= 537537se_type="cluster"(cluster-robust standard errors (CR1) by 'complexo_id')n_clusters= 271271(271 clusters of 'complexo_id')
Derivação matemática e pressupostos
coef.interaction- Coeficiente de interaction na regressão por mínimos quadrados ordinários de y.→ -2,17407 (-2.1740686776929077)
- Erro-padrão robusto por conglomerado (CR1): a raiz da variância estimada do coeficiente.
ep = √V_jj→ 0,417178 (0.41717801834785523) - Intervalo de 95% de confiança: a estimativa mais ou menos o valor crítico da distribuição t de Student com 270 graus de liberdade vezes o erro-padrão.
IC = β ± c · ep
Pressupostos do estimador- the conditional mean of the outcome is linear in the regressors
- errors are independent across clusters of 'complexo_id' and may be correlated within them
Tabelas (1)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 1.9859817759605338, "ci_low": 0.9141499337746558, "coef": 1.4500658548675949, "p": 2.1052321435964518e-7, "se": 0.27220586622005927, "t": 5.3270925972451995, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": -1.352733175019077, "ci_low": -2.995404180366738, "coef": -2.1740686776929077, "p": 3.728118372407259e-7, "se": 0.41717801834785523, "t": -5.211369204693105, "term": "interaction" }, { "ci_high": 1.3489592590195358, "ci_low": 0.293920233449696, "coef": 0.8214397462346159, "p": 0.0023914060858454622, "se": 0.26794110843499375, "t": 3.065747361547206, "term": "treated" }, { "ci_high": 0.694998864056584, "ci_low": -0.4938017536913518, "coef": 0.10059855518261604, "p": 0.7392379172187712, "se": 0.30191163313181324, "t": 0.333205296328198, "term": "post" }, { "ci_high": -1.108785352233355, "ci_low": -2.8672441260078227, "coef": -1.988014739120589, "p": 0.000012481984273276874, "se": 0.44658385288438934, "t": -4.451604611945613, "term": "bope" } ] }Hashes SHA-256 e metadados de reprodução
- Digests dos dados
ref_panel08a9abb05cbf0e6ac722e2f9623361707b093718d3946fa0affd09deadbafbfb- sha256 do resultado
abf49ef4a208541d74cf7eb415efd19b0ee55f310e217852d971d838b83b4507
- 27Turno do modelo
call_bb79b943referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -2,174. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_526ed370:coef.interaction" ] }
- 28Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- -2,174
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 29Resposta
Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.interaction = -2,174. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Figuras citadas:call_526ed370:coef.interaction· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_526ed370:coef.interaction= -2,17407-2.1740686776929077(se 0,4171780.41717801834785523) - 30Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 31Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
-2.174068678 in [-2.991737594, -1.356399762]? - 32Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
-2.174068678 vs -2.1740686776929175 - 33Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
0.4171780183 vs 0.41717801834785306
Épocas × verificações
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| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | passou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
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