Causal effect of school-entry age on long-run family formation: Quasi-experimental evidence from 14 million individuals in Vietnam
Ishaan Busireddy e outros, 2026 · PNAS Nexus
Being born after Vietnam's December 31 school-entry cutoff increased school attendance among adolescents aged 15–23 by 6.6 percentage points.
Estimativa · currently attending school, percentage points
6,60 [6,40; 6,80]
percentage points
P < 0.001
- Desenho
- Regressão descontínua. regression discontinuity design using month-of-birth cutoff
- População
- Individuals aged 15–23 years in Vietnam (1989, 1999, and 2009 censuses)
- Amostra
- 3.367.641 · individuals aged 15–23
Onde está o número
Results > Impacts on school attendance and early family formation; section 'Results > Impacts on school attendance and early family formation', paragraph 2 (also Table 3, column 1)
being born after the eligibility cutoff was associated with a 6.6 percentage point increase (P < 0.001, 95% CI: 6.4–6.8) in school attendance
Contexto
What changed: Vietnam mandates that children enter grade 1 in the calendar year they turn 6, establishing a December 31 eligibility cutoff that delays school entry by approximately one year for children born in January–June. Comparison: Adolescents born just after the cutoff (January–June) compared to those born just before (July–December) using a regression discontinuity design. Limits: Relies on discrete month of birth; does not separate relative age effects from biological age or incapacitation; based on census samples.
Caminho no grafo
- FamíliaRegras e regulação
- TipoObrigações legais
- ResultadoMatrícula e frequência
- EixoEducação
MAGI só cita evidência deste instrumento
Lugares do estudo
- Vietnam · País · VN
- Licença
- CC-BY
- Revisão
- Extraído por máquina, não revisadoExtraído por: gemini-3.8-flash, 2026-10-23