Evaluating advance peace in Fresno, California: An interrupted times series analysis of a community-based gun violence intervention
Xing Gao e outros, 2025 · PLOS One
Two years after Advance Peace was launched in Fresno, the rate of total gun-related crimes fell by 46% relative to the counterfactual trend.
Estimativa · rate ratio of gun-related crimes relative to counterfactual
0,540 [0,360; 0,810]
rate ratio
- Desenho
- Série temporal interrompida. negative binomial interrupted time series with restricted cubic splines
- População
- Fresno, California, from 2014 Q1 to 2023 Q2
- Amostra
- 38 · quarterly city-wide crime count observations
Onde está o número
Results, text description and Table 2, row '2 years (8 quarters)', column 'Total'
the RR reached 0.54 (95% CI, 0.36–0.81), corresponding to a 46% reduction in total firearm incidents relative to counterfactual expectations.
Contexto
What changed: Advance Peace was launched in Fresno, deploying outreach workers for intensive mentorship of individuals at high risk of firearm violence and conflict mediation. Comparison: Observed quarterly crime counts versus counterfactual projections from pre-intervention trends (2014-2021). Limits: No comparison city or control group; possible confounding from broader post-COVID crime dynamics and citywide policing.
Caminho no grafo
- FamíliaInformação e persuasão
- TipoCapacitação e aconselhamento
- ResultadoCriminalidade
- EixoPaz e justiça
MAGI só cita evidência deste instrumento
Lugares do estudo
- Fresno · Município · US
- Licença
- CC-BY
- Revisão
- Extraído por máquina, não revisadoExtraído por: gemini-3.8-flash, 2026-10-23