Estimating the Counterfactual Impact of Conservation Programs on Land Cover Outcomes: The Role of Matching and Panel Regression Techniques
Kelly W. Jones e outros, 2015 · PLoS ONE
Enrolling in Ecuador's Socio Bosque PES program reduced the annual parcel-level deforestation rate by 0.422 percentage points.
Estimativa · Annual parcel-level deforestation rate, percentage points
-0,422 [-0,691; -0,153]
percentage points · calculado a partir do erro-padrão
p < 0.01
- Desenho
- Painel com efeitos fixos. Propensity score matching combined with parcel and year fixed effects panel regression
- População
- Smallholder parcels near Cuyabeno Faunal Wildlife Reserve in northeastern Ecuador, 2004–2013
- Amostra
- 784 · parcel-year observations (112 matched parcels)
Onde está o número
Table 3, row 'Treatment effect (change in annual parcel-level deforestation rate)', column 'Matching + Fixed effects panel regression'
Treatment effect (change in annual parcel-level deforestation rate) | -0.395*** (0.133) | -0.396*** (0.130) | -0.305** (0.120) | -0.422*** (0.137)
Contexto
What changed: Eligible titled smallholders enrolled in the Socio Bosque conservation payment program in 2010. Comparison: Matched non-enrolled smallholders in the same pre-cooperatives, controlling for parcel fixed effects and pre-treatment deforestation. Limits: Only controls for unobservables that are time-invariant; limited to a 600 sq km area around one reserve.
Caminho no grafo
- FamíliaInstrumentos de mercado e direitos
- TipoPagamento por serviços ambientais
- ResultadoDesmatamento
- EixoConversão de terras
MAGI só cita evidência deste instrumento
Lugares do estudo
- Ecuador · País · EC
- Licença
- CC-BY
- Revisão
- Extraído por máquina, não revisadoExtraído por: gemini-3.8-flash, 2026-10-23