Did private election administration funding advantage Democrats in 2020?
Apoorva Lal e outros, 2024 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
CTCL private election administration grants in 2020 increased county voter turnout by an estimated 0.03 percentage points, statistically indistinguishable from zero.
Estimativa · presidential election voter turnout, percentage points
0,0300 [-0,225; 0,285]
percentage points · calculado a partir do erro-padrão
- Desenho
- Diferenças em diferenças. Synthetic difference-in-differences using county and year weights across 8 presidential elections (1992–2020)
- População
- 2,594 US counties in presidential elections from 1992 to 2020
- Amostra
- 20.752 · county-election observations across 2,594 counties
Onde está o número
Table 2.; Table 2, row 'Grant recipient in 2020', column (8)
Grant recipient in 2020 | 3.26 | 0.36 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.24 | 0.14 | −0.03 | 0.03 | (0.35) | (0.11) | (0.12) | (0.10) | (0.21) | (0.13) | (0.15) | (0.13)
Contexto
What changed: CTCL distributed roughly $350 million in private grants to local election administrators during the 2020 election. Comparison: Grant-receiving counties compared to non-recipient counties via synthetic difference-in-differences. Limits: Excludes ten states with municipal election administration and very small or border-shifting counties.
Caminho no grafo
- FamíliaOutro instrumento
- ResultadoParticipação social nas decisões
- EixoVoz política
MAGI só cita evidência deste instrumento
Lugares do estudo
- United States · País · US
- Licença
- CC-BY
- Revisão
- Extraído por máquina, não revisadoExtraído por: gemini-3.8-flash, 2026-10-23