Impact of later trading hours for bars and clubs on alcohol-related ambulance call-outs and crimes in Scotland: a controlled interrupted time series study
Nurnabi Sheikh e outros, 2026 · BMJ Public Health
Extending weekend alcohol trading hours by 1 to 2 hours up to 3am across 38 bars in Aberdeen led to an estimated 3.44 additional weekend night-time reported crimes per week relative to Edinburgh.
Estimativa · Weekend night-time reported crimes per week, count
3,44 [0,239; 6,65]
crimes per week
p: 0.035
- Desenho
- Série temporal interrompida. Controlled interrupted time series (CITS) with ARIMA modelling
- População
- Aberdeen and Edinburgh, Scotland, May 2015 to March 2020
Onde está o número
Results; Table 2, row 'Policy effect (significant covariates)', column 'Main analysis - Outcome: number of incidents'
Similarly, when only statistically significant covariates were included in the model, the effect was 3.442 (p value=0.035, 95% CI 0.239 to 6.645) for reported crimes in Aberdeen (table 2).
Contexto
What changed: Aberdeen allowed 38 bars to extend alcohol sales by 1–2 hours up to 3am between 2017 and 2020. Comparison: Controlled interrupted time series comparing Aberdeen against Edinburgh from May 2015 to March 2020. Limits: Analysis relies on parallel trends, unmeasured time-varying confounders may exist, and crime data reflect only reported incidents.
Caminho no grafo
- FamíliaRegras e regulação
- TipoLicenciamento e autorizações
- ResultadoCriminalidade
- EixoPaz e justiça
MAGI só cita evidência deste instrumento
Lugares do estudo
- Aberdeen · Município · GB
- Glasgow · Município · GB
- Edinburgh · Município · GB
- Licença
- CC-BY
- Revisão
- Extraído por máquina, não revisadoExtraído por: gemini-3.8-flash, 2026-10-23